Political analyist concluded ‘Hillary doesn’t fit the bill’ partly because she lacked Barack Obama’s charisma. Allan Lichtman, a political analyst who has correctly predicted the results of every presidential election since 1984, correctly foresaw that Mr Trump would be the 45th US President.
Unlike many experts who fixated on Mr Trump’s controversial campaign when assessing the election outcome, Professor Lichtman’s calculations largely focused on the incumbent party’s potential for another victory based on 13 key assessments. The system entails “mathematically and specifically” measuring the performance of the party in office. It is a historically based prediction system. He derived the system by looking at every American presidential election from 1860 to 1980.
One of his keys is whether or not the sitting president is running for re-election, and right away, [the Democrats] are down that key.
Another one of his keys is whether or not the candidate of the White House party is, like Obama was in 2008, charismatic. Hillary Clinton doesn’t fit the bill.
Check out the articles below for details of his calculation:
- Donald Trump’s win was predicted by Allan Lichtman — the US election expert who has called every result since 1984
- Keys to the White House